Friday, August 31, 2007
^V^三大荣誉集一身前无古人 刘翔无愧当今110栏之王, Liu Xiang looks like my idol Bruce Lee ^V^
大阪,刘翔经过六年四届比赛的冲击,终于站到了田径世锦赛的最高领奖台上。加冕世锦赛冠军,也让刘翔成为110米栏历史上第一位集奥运会、世锦赛和世界纪录于一身的选手,再度书写了110米栏历史崭新的一页。
从1972年美国人米尔布恩创造13秒24的世界纪录到现在,35年时间内一共有五名选手打破过世界纪录,最先打破纪录的是古巴选手卡萨那斯,他1977年8月21日跑出了13秒21。之后美国名将内赫米亚从1979年到1981年三年时间内三度打破世界纪录,最终将世界纪录提高到了12秒93。八年之后又是美国选手,金多姆将纪录提升了0.01秒。到1993年科林-杰克逊将成绩再度提高0.01秒之后,世界纪录就整整沉寂了13年之久。直到2007年洛桑超级大奖赛上,刘翔让整个世界震惊,以12秒88让世界纪录写在了自己的名下。
在这六位世界纪录保持者中,只有三位奥运会冠军,70年代初期一支独秀的米尔布恩在1972年奥运会中当仁不让地将金牌收入囊中。另一位就是金多姆,1984年洛杉矶奥运会主场作战的他13秒20夺冠,1988年汉城奥运会他以12秒98成功卫冕,一年之后进而打破世界纪录。第三位就是刘翔,刷新世界纪录两年前的雅典奥运会上,以12秒91问鼎金牌。
而田径世锦赛始于1983年,米尔布恩就缺少了这面金牌,如果世锦赛提前10年,将没人会是他的对手。而80年代统治世锦赛的人却不是金多姆,而是格雷戈-福斯特,从1983年到1991年八年三届比赛中,福斯特实现了三连冠,而金多姆却始终与世锦赛冠军无缘。1993年世锦赛科林-杰克逊登上了世锦赛最高领奖台,并在同年刷新了世界纪录,但在福斯特和科林-杰克逊交叉的1992年巴塞罗那奥运会上,加拿大人麦克库伊成为了他们心头永远的痛,麦克库伊以13秒12爆冷夺得了奥运会冠军。
1996年科林-杰克逊不敌阿兰-约翰逊,眼睁睁看着美国人笑到最后,而阿兰-约翰逊之后虽然史无前例地四夺世锦赛冠军,而且成为历史上突破13秒大关次数最多的选手,但是始终冲破与12秒91无缘,从目前来看,打破世界纪录将是这位历史上最成功的110米栏霸主永远无法达成的目标。悉尼奥运会110米栏冠军古巴选手加西亚则连世锦赛冠军都没有拿到过。
只有刘翔!04年奥运摘金,06年打破世界纪录,07年世锦赛称王,集这三项莫大的荣誉于一身。刘翔,无愧当今110米栏第一人,也必将成为110米栏历史上最优秀的巨星之一。
Thursday, August 30, 2007
^V^Added another 39 lots of masteel at avg 1.265 ^V^
^V^
Someone asked me what is d TP price for masteel ? ha ha..i will say:-
Anything below 1.50 is super value buy
1.50 to 1.80 is bargain buy
1.80 to 2.00 is value buy
2.00 to 2.20 is trading buy
what u need is patient n holding power, fyi, i hv profited > 50 K from masteel alone since year 06 ( check my previous portfolio), it is one of my my lucky counter besides ijmwb n ytlwb ^V^ after today purchases, I hv 60 lots in total at avg cost of 1.275 ^V^
If my MFCB n Pworth rose another 15 to 20cts, I will consider to swap them to masteel at anything below 1.40 ^V^
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
^V^ Bingo ! in line with my expectation, Masteel 's earning jumped 117% ^V^
^V^
Wowww$$$$$ 2 qtrs already given u 15.64cts, with NTA of 2.29, 30cts for year 07 definitely not a problem, with current price of 1.26 , 1.26 /0.30= PE 4 + $$$$$$
25 lots in hand r too little for me, I will buy in more 2molo morning ^V^ hopefully dow tumble another 100 over points tonight, so that i can buy at cheaper or at closing price. ha ha..
BTW, i hv disposed my remaining 22 lots of Lionind @ 1.71 today with profit around RM4,500+, plenty of bullets loaded for germ buying.
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
^V^ Welcome back Mr Price chart from KLSE TREND, where is my cup of coffee from SC ? ^V^
^V^
Ha ha why changing blog ? cos of price chart blog not doing well or want to run away from yr dirty name ? sorry bro.. like d song sang := i will follow uuuuuuuu...
Finally, u admitted that TA is no longer be trusted..not too late to know it ^V^
By price chart or KLSE Trend :-
When people are despair and HOPE to see light, many wolves in sheep outfit will appear. They will appear as “SIFU” and “GURU” convincing you to believe they will be able to teach you the “Technical Analysis” path to financial gain. I have come across many during the last 15 years. How many of this “sifus or gurus” have traded profitably for their own accounts? If they are trading successfully why are they so busy organizing and collecting lots of fees to supplement their expenses! Some will provide you with their market “calls” but unable to make money from KLSE! To make matter worst some will offer to manage your money! My rule is very simple, if they are not making money (that is the reason for asking you to fund them), why should you let them manage your money!
***
U r right, as i said, how many of these so called sifus dare to show off their say b4 hand calls ? where r their proven track records ? talk only like u..ah pek n ah soh pun boleh lah ^V^
How about u Mr price chart of KLSE trend ? dare to post yr portfolio n call b4 hand picks for us to view ? if not, pls dont tembak ppl lah cos u also d same mah !?? am i not correct ?
^V^ What i did yesterday ^V^
^V^
Forgot to post this up yesterday ^V^,Sold 4 lots of plenitude @2.97 with profit of RM 400+ n 10 lots of crestbldwa @0.545 n then bought back at 0.53 with profit of RM 130+ . I did that bcos of long holiday ahead , I am abit kiasu,I dare not to sell all, ha ha worry of being left out if KLCI keeps rallying today due to merdeka n Sept budget, hence, i take some profit first, jangan marah, bang ooiii ^V^
Will definitely buy back plenitude 2 molo evening at much lower price ^V^
For those having ac with RHB, if u buy/sell within a day, yr brokerage is only 0.125%, for stock below 1.00, half a bid is more than enough to cover everything. do i sound like a contra kaki ? ha ha..i guess so.
^V^ Oh my god, I never know u like shit so much !? Mr ok ? ^V^
^V^
Look at MMM past earning !!! smell like shit n even smelly than someone whose didnt shit for more than 10 days !! what u should do now is SELLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL !
Date: Tue, 28 Aug 2007 02:27:59 -0700 (PDT)
From: "Anonymous"
To: samltt88@yahoo.com
Subject: [Gaining on Shares Investment from Bloomblog (股海沉
uncle sam....is MMM dieing?heard tat the price preciously go high coz some1 pushing it up....now after announcement say m3nergy will sell all its share....the price drop so much...im still holding some at 0.710.should i hold or sell it?can give me some advise?
mr.ok.
***
To Redsamy :-
redsamy..dont touch call warrant, they r all cash settlement..2 killing reasons of call warrant..1) time frame too short n most of them r out of money
2) basic of demand n supply, when supply more than demand..what will happen to d price ? there r too many call warrants flooded in KLSE as compared to those day...
avoid bro ^V^
^V^ To whom it may concern ^V^
What used to be bad, might not be bad in the future.
No matter who and no matter how good the person's theories are, following by theories n straight from book never guarantees one success esp d one only know how to talk but no action at all ^V^ never judge things by surface, u will never know who will cross d line first by end of d day ^V^
Still remember he called negatively on Pworth @0.90 n Ranhill @ 1.15 ? need me to put yr name here ? ha ha.. let me know if u want me to do that ^V^
Monday, August 27, 2007
^V^ Plenitude done only 4 lots ! What a superb Q earning from Plenitude $$$^V^
^V^
Queued 5 lots at 2.85 , ended up only 4 lots done .. its OE just announced with 60% jump in its earning fro Q 2 Q ! EPS for d year stood at 41.82cts which translate into PE of 6.8+ wowww $$$$$, a nett cash property stock selling u PE of 6+ ???? betul ka ? further more, if u look deep into it, its last land valuation conducted in year 2000, by now its NTA should stood in between 4.50 to 5.00 instead of 3.80 as stated above .
Anything below 3.00 is value buy for Plenitude ^V^
Sunday, August 26, 2007
^V^ Stupid uncle sam ^V^
^V^
Sold 5 lots of Lionind @ 1.79 (Profit RM1,500+) n also 10 lots of ECM@0.97 ( RM600+- ) this morning ^V^
Plenitude really moved up today...ma ma me yaaaaa.... should i catch it at 2.88 now ? mental struggling now.... 2.60 dont want to buy n now thinking of buying at 2.88 ? oh my god! .. how stupid i am !!!!! buy or not to buy ??? quick uncle sam..how ?? buy ??
Sold 5 lots of Lionind @ 1.79 (Profit RM1,500+) n also 10 lots of ECM@0.97 ( RM600+- ) this morning ^V^
Plenitude really moved up today...ma ma me yaaaaa.... should i catch it at 2.88 now ? mental struggling now.... 2.60 dont want to buy n now thinking of buying at 2.88 ? oh my god! .. how stupid i am !!!!! buy or not to buy ??? quick uncle sam..how ?? buy ??
Cox loves...
Ahora viene COX... que le gusta a este Alien tan simpatico?Jetzt kommt COX... was könnte ihm, diesem sympathischen Alien wohl gefallen?
Cox loves...
Ahora viene COX... que le gusta a este Alien tan simpatico?Jetzt kommt COX... was könnte ihm, diesem sympathischen Alien wohl gefallen?
Bop Loves....
Nuestros primeros videos de los chicos de Planet RTX, en este caso BOP. Si quieres saber todo lo que le gusta solo tienes que pulsar "play".Unsere ersten Videos der Planet RTX Bewohnerchen. In diesem Fall von BOP. Wenn ihr wissen wollt was er am allerliebsten mag, dann zögert nicht einfach "play" zu drücken.
Bop Loves....
Nuestros primeros videos de los chicos de Planet RTX, en este caso BOP. Si quieres saber todo lo que le gusta solo tienes que pulsar "play".Unsere ersten Videos der Planet RTX Bewohnerchen. In diesem Fall von BOP. Wenn ihr wissen wollt was er am allerliebsten mag, dann zögert nicht einfach "play" zu drücken.
Saturday, August 25, 2007
^V^ 6K+ for one TA software ? Oh my god !? ^V^
^V^
Again n again... I knew there r plenty of TA bloggers waiting out there to kill me but still I wanna to say :- TA software costing u 6K+ n u tell me it is fine ?? Oh my god !
Use yr sense n think :-
1)If this TA software really work as it is, do u think Asiachart need to beg around n asking u guys to buy it ? n also all d staff from Asiachart should hv make million of ringgit from it, why still need to work under ppl ?
2) D best fund in town is still Public Mutual fund which using FA approach for stock selection, followed by icapital which also using FA approach for their portfolio, I hv never heard asiachart awarded d best fund b4. hv u ?
3) Go to TA blogs n find out yrself, did they tell u to sell all yr shares b4 mkt slump in mid Augsut ? some r even calling buy during d crash !
4) 6K for one TA software n still u need to consider that ?? ha ha...b4 u get yrself rich, they already get themselves super rich from selling that to u !
My advice, if u cant make that simple sense , sorry to tell u.. u can forget about share investment, otherwise , "Holland" is yr final destination ^V^
***
Worth to attend TA courses?
« on: Yesterday at 08:54:03 PM »
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hi buddies here,
Recently i went to the briefing of the TA courses for AsiaChart and GrandPine (free one). They both offer you the Software (metastock) to generate the Chart and giving you the buy signals to buy and sell signals to sell. In addition, they also provide a forum on their homepage and meeting discussion every week.
The course fee for Asiachart is RM5k and Grandpine is RM6k+++.Actually i feel that the principle they use to plot the graph are almost the same....which they use the moving average system to generate the buy/sell signal. How you guys think? Is that worth to take this course?
Grafitti 001
A ver si descubris cual es nuestro graffiti...Mal sehen, ob ihr herausfindet welches unser Graffiti auf dieser Wand ist....
Grafitti 001
A ver si descubris cual es nuestro graffiti...Mal sehen, ob ihr herausfindet welches unser Graffiti auf dieser Wand ist....
Friday, August 24, 2007
^V^ Plenitude, buy or not to buy ? ^V^
^V^
After a deep thought yesterday night, i decided to buy in plenitude this morning, but... d problem was..i parked too low, queued at 2.57 for 10 lots..sighhh..nobody wanted to sell it to me ^V^
3 qtrs giving u EPS of 26cts$$$
from d way she acted today (rose 13cts despite 10 points drop in KLCI), i am quite confident its coming QE should be another flying one ^V^
NTA 3.70 + nett cash in hand.
Guys, this is d only property stock that giving u PE of 7+ ( plus its coming 4th qe), mana boleh dapat ? I think i hv made a mistake today by not taking d seller price..
Thursday, August 23, 2007
^V^ Another RM750+ gain from short sell of Lionind @1.76 ^V^
^V^
Sold 10 lots @ 1.76 n then bought back @1.68, profit = RM750+, q another round at 1.76 , unfortunately no one willing to buy from me..sighhh
At d same time, went in 10 lots of ECM @0.915 for trading play ^V^
Plenitude is now @2.66, drop from 3.50, buy or not to buy ? well.... will think over it tonight ^V^
Wednesday, August 22, 2007
^V^ Mr Annoy, this is what "man seperated from kids 's portfolio " ^V^
^V^
RM 19,260 realised profit taken for d month of August during mkt crash, not bad yah ? total return for 06 to 07 stood at 264% ^V^ is uncle sam licking wound during recent tsunami ? sorry Mr annoy... tak kena saya ^V^
Lionind soared to as high as 1.77 today, more to come baby $$$$$$ , seems like its coming QE should be another flying one ^V^
Good luck dudes ^V^
^V^ Added another 10 lots of Lionind @1.48 ^V^
^V^
Everyone knows Liondiv is a solid N profitable stock, but one always forget Lionind is one of d major share holder of liondiv, with its latest earning stood around 5.6 cts, NTA 3.10, besides steel, it involved in property also, its on going restructuring will solve its debt soon, hence , for her to sustains its earning of 6cts per quarter shouldn't be any problem , i foresee much better than 6cts in d coming quarters ^V^
Year high 2.20
Forecasted PE for year 07 based on current price of 1.48 = 5+ $$$$
It is definitely a germ like Onasteel n masteel ^V^
Tuesday, August 21, 2007
^V^ Once again, some day trades contra gain ^V^
^V^
Bought 10 lots of DPS @ 0.47 n sold it off @ 0.485 with profit of RM120+ within an hour ^V^
Some contra gain of RM350+ from Masteel also which i bought @ 1.20 yesterday ^V^
Observe these two counters, always push at last min of d day, play around d range.. if d sell order not done, sell it d next day , if still nothing done on next day, pick it up n keep it, trust me, it will surely goes above yr cost one day, that 's how i play around DPS n masteel ^V^ from my trades records of dps , d most is 3 days for her to bounce back to 0.495 to 0.50+ ^V^ if u doubt, try it n see ^V^
Monday, August 20, 2007
^V^What is M2 < M3 n M3 = M4? ^V^
^V^
My dear bro asked me what is M2 < M3 n M3 = M4? ha ha..go to this web n find it yrself :- http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/m0.asp
Once USD is no longer value hold for hedge funds, they will rush to buy Asian currencies, cos..when one down (USD) d other one must be up (Asian currencies) ! dont forget, Fed is going to hv 2nd n 3rd rate cut soon, u ppl know very well, once int rate cut , what will benefit d most ?? ha ha... short term still uncertain but over d mid n long term...??? yours guess is as good as mine ^V^
By now u should know why BS Tan from Icapital so bullish on KLSE..2000 by next year ! wowww.... too optimistic..1,500 is good enough already $$$$$$
My dear bro asked me what is M2 < M3 n M3 = M4? ha ha..go to this web n find it yrself :- http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/m0.asp
Once USD is no longer value hold for hedge funds, they will rush to buy Asian currencies, cos..when one down (USD) d other one must be up (Asian currencies) ! dont forget, Fed is going to hv 2nd n 3rd rate cut soon, u ppl know very well, once int rate cut , what will benefit d most ?? ha ha... short term still uncertain but over d mid n long term...??? yours guess is as good as mine ^V^
By now u should know why BS Tan from Icapital so bullish on KLSE..2000 by next year ! wowww.... too optimistic..1,500 is good enough already $$$$$$
^V^ What i did today ^V^
^V^
Mkt rebounded strongly after Fed rate cut last Friday, USD will depreciate further n Asian currencies will definitely appreciate n FF will buy in Asia stocks slowly but surely ( u can see SSEX n Hang Seng rose like nobody biz today )^V^
Based on M2 < M3 n M3 = M4 datas shown, China self demand is more than enough to keep its economy grow for at least 1 to 2 years time ^V^ I am not sure today rise is merely a technical rebound or bull coming back !? as known to u, i hv disposed off nearly 80 K of my shares last week, hence, i decided to buy back some at current level ^V^ D below r d stocks i bought today :-
Masteel 21 lots @ 1.205
MFCB 30 lots @1.38
Lionind 18 lots @ 1.48
To Mr annoy, WBC is over, i will post up my portfolio latest by Wednesday , let me show u what is man seperated from kids ^V^
Good Luck guys ^V^
Friday, August 17, 2007
^V^ Lee & Choong IN, Cai n Fu OUT ! Tailow how about u ? r u out also ? ^V^
^V^
Well done Malaysia ! cheers ! keep it up ...
d no 1 seed Fu n Cai were beaten by Choong n Tan in 3 sets, what a great match ^V^..syabas Malaysia ^V^
Cai n Fu r out ! how about u mr tailow ? r u KO by KLSE also ?u r not that easy to tame off..right ? i hv 100% confident on u bro.. i will put my last dollar on u ..ha ha
No day trades for today, wanted to buy plenitude @2.10..unfortunately , 2.20 is d lowest ^V^
Look at ornastel today. green towards d end, not bad not bad ^V^
Heard that Fed will cut int tonite, it will help to stabilise d world mkt if they really did that ^V^
Thursday, August 16, 2007
^V^Licking yr wound ?^V^
^V^
Made RM70+ contra gain from DPS today. U know very well, mati mati dps 's boss will push it up >0.50 for its coming EGM n right issues, they r going to held EGM by end of this month in Melaka, he is selling its right @ 0.50 for every 1 DPS holding, how he going to sell it n get d approval from its shares holders if DPS does not stand above 0.50 ? will do d same 2molo, buy below 0.48 n sell at 0.50, few cts gain is good enough for my week end pocket money ^V^
I did d same to Plenitude also, unfortunately, no one willing to sell it to me at 2.50, any purchases from now onwards r meant for hit n run, if 2molo mkt managed to rebound in early morning, sell on strength n take profit if u hv ^V^
To be frank, Mr bear has taken > 30K of my unrealised profit since begining of August, Heart pain ? nope ! this is share mkt !u made some u lose some ! mkt is never wrong ! further more, my nett investment is still in positive zone with nett return still stood > 200% ( will release for viewing after d world badminton championship next week ), I guess we need to stay away from KLSE for little while, it will definitely need time for recovery, if u ask me about my view of KLSE, 1,600 by year end is a little impossible after d recent subprime crisis, 1,450 by coming cny is more pratical ^V^
As it can be seen, whether it is bull or bear mkt, i am always blogging here unlike others who r totally silent from blogging anymore ^V^
from d recent trades, u can see i really trades like a contra player..opps not contra player but day trade contra player,,ha ha, know why ? in bearish mkt , d more u hold d more u die !
Still remember some sour guys said := bull mkt mah, who didnt made ? ha ha really ?
Perhaps, u should learn this " 路遥知马力= u will only know how good is yr horse's endurance after long distance ride " from now onwards ^V^
Wednesday, August 15, 2007
^V^ Hi man, old saying :-if u cant beat them, join them ! sails with south wind ! ^V^
^V^
I hv sailed with d south wind yesterday, take RM4,300+ profit on masteel @1.29 for 50 lots, in d same time make some contra gain from dps :- bought 5 lots at 0.50 n sold all at 0.52 ^V^
Will definitely buy back masteel at much lower price, btw ornasteel 's earning just came out yesterday night, in line with d given source, too bad, she born at wrong time.. no matter what, 100% confident on its future prospect, ha ha this is what ppl called "Ah Q spirit " ^V^
To mr annoy, dont worry, i will definitely post my portfolio up within a week time, i know what is yr intention behind, as for me, ha ha, i would like to take this opportunity to show u how i separated myself from d kids ^V^ be there to see , k ?
^V^ What an upset ! Taufik is out ! know more about this giant killer :- ^V^
胜陶菲克者何许人也 斯里德哈亚运会曾让陶难堪 !
搜狐体育讯 8月15日,在2007羽毛球世锦赛(羽毛球世锦赛新闻)男单第二轮比赛中,印尼名将陶菲克(陶菲克新闻,陶菲克说吧)爆出冷门,被印度选手斯里德哈以2-1所淘汰。不过,估计许多关注羽毛球的球迷都不太了解,这个斯里德哈究竟是何许人也?竟然能把陶菲克淘汰? >>>>调查:您认为陶菲克输在何处?
的确,斯里德哈世界排名远在第41位,虽然是仅次于阿南德之后的印度第二号男单,但是在国际羽坛一直没有什么名气,在国际羽联官方网站上,连他的年龄都查不到。
他2002年出道,但是2004年以前一直诖虻图侗鸬奈佬侨5牵词拐庋惨恢泵挥蟹牌约旱挠鹈蛎蜗耄且恢本ぞひ狄档匚蛉敫咚降谋热ΑV沼冢?005年,他迎来了转机,在当年的苏格兰羽毛球公开赛男单比赛上,他一举打入半决赛。对于这样一名以前一直打低级别比赛的球员来说,这样的成绩对他是莫大的鼓舞,此后他信心更足。在今年的德国公开赛上,他打入了八强,这是他羽毛球生涯至今最出色的成绩。
斯里德哈的特点秉承了南亚运动员灵活的特点,防守犹如“牛皮糖”,手感很细腻,网前功夫一流。以网前技术细腻而著称的陶菲克,遇到这位手法细腻与自己相仿,但是防守更加坚韧,意志更加顽强的对手时,就往往陷入“怎么打也打不死”的怪圈,在与对手的纠缠中心态出现起伏,水平发挥也大打折扣。 >>>>调查:您认为陶菲克输在何处?
早在去年亚运会羽毛球团体比赛、印尼队对印度队的较量中,斯里德哈就差点把陶菲克拉下马。当时在第一局,斯里德哈与陶菲克一直鏖战到21平之后,陶菲克才以23-21险胜;第二局,斯里德哈也一度将比分咬得很紧,只是因为实力的差距,以16-21又失掉一局,输掉了在本届世锦赛之前他与陶菲克的唯一一次交手,不过陶菲克也被斯里德哈打出了一身冷汗。到了今年,打入德国公开赛八强的斯里德哈,信心更足。在本届世锦赛男单首轮比赛,斯里德哈打得并不顺利,面对奥地利选手于尔根·科赫,以21-15、21-19险胜,远不如陶菲克首轮胜西班牙克雷斯波那样干脆利索。不过,艰苦的比赛激发了他的状态;况且他防守顽强的特点,越是面对强敌,往往越是有发挥余地。所以,今天再遇陶菲克,他的状态明显强于对手,再次施展“牛皮糖”功夫,将陶菲克磨得脾气全无,最终2-1拿下。世锦赛的最大冷门由此诞生。
相信此战之后,斯里德哈一举成名,兴许会在世界羽坛创造更多的佳绩呢
Sunday, August 12, 2007
^V^Mamula moon = Negara ku ? ^V^
^V^ Expert's views ^V^
44m x 0.14 x 0.13
Excerpts were taken from Jack Miller's popular blog "Stocks Or Bonds"
http://www.stocksorbonds.blogspot.com/
Many would have liked Bernanke to cut rates by 50 basis points last week on hindsight. The business media has been having a field day with the majority believing that Ben Bernanke has held short rates too high too long.
The President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond wrote a nice rebuttal to some of the negative press. It was published as the President's message in the "Regional Focus," spring of 2007. The summary point of the article was, "Monetary policy works best when it allows the real economy to respond appropriately to economic fundamentals, rather than attempts to insulate the economy from shocks by tolerating swings in inflation." Ben could have lowered rates to "fix" the sub-prime problem. This would have been like castrating a dog to prevent breeding. Ben has injected reserves into the system so that those who are running scared can hoard all the cash they want at relatively low market returns. Neither the fed funds rate nor the discount rate was changed. In a few more months, Ben will be getting high praise for standing firm in order to bring inflation expectations to very attractive levels. In the meantime, "talking heads" will continue to make "much to do about nothing."
Jerry Bowyer wrote yesterday about the "sub-prime mess." He notes that of the 44 million mortgages in America, 14% are sub-prime. Of those, 13% are currently at least one payment behind, however: 44m x 0.14 x0.13 = 800,800 mortgages that are one payment behind. Many developed countries would want to have those figures. The large majority of the late payers are still paying and many are working with lenders to restructure payments. The bottom line is that there are about 250,000 mortgages that are moving to foreclosure. The total value of these loans is about US$7 billion. If these houses are worth 30% less than what is owed, the total money lost will be in the neighborhood of US$2 billion. Even in a worsening case scenario, double that o US$4 billion (Gee! Malaysia would have squandered that amount in a few unfinished or incomplete projects). Thats why I am not bearish but the shorts and bears have been having the upper hand for the last two weeks. Americans have net worth of US$53 trillion dollars. The "total hit" will be in the neighborhood of .003% of value.
Saturday, August 11, 2007
^V^ Popularity (Theme) n Volume ^V^
^V^
Annoy asked me why i dont put all my bullets on Metro Kajang since i am so damn sure its coming QE difinitely a flying one ?? d reasons r :- Tak lain Tak bukan "popularity n volume " adalah punca pemilihan ku ^V^
There r a few good FA stocks which r super under value but their price hardly move at all despite d 400 points up by KLSE from 900 to 1,350 :-
Ekson
Bkoon
Metro Kajang
Tafi (second board)
Ajiya
They hv 2 things in common "lack of Popularity n volume "!
If u compare their Balance sheet, gearing, cash flow, nta n management with stocks like Ranhill , Suria , Swee Joo , Sapcrest , kencana, Tebrau , Mrcb..... u will know why i said " popularity n volume "must take into consideration for share pick.
If u look at their past earning records n management of MRCB, Tebrau, Sapcrest..it is really smell like shit but then why their shares still keep moving up like nobody biz ? besides d granted projects , d main reason is "Popularity or what they called it Theme play " !
Perhaps some of u already know why i bought Ranhill @1.15 n suria @ 1.05 not so long ago, I knew their management n past earning records r way below stock like Metro kajang n ekson, but if u compare their PE n volume traded at that time, they r telling u " I am coming..i am coming $$$$$" if theme n political darling stocks like MRCB, tebrau n UEMworld with PE > 25 still able fly high , what is so expensive of buying Suria n Ranhill with PE stood around 10+- ???
Same apply on Oilcorp @ 1.31 ( My cost ), Oil n Gas is d most hot cooking theme in KLSE , Most of d O N G stocks's PE r high above 20 some even touching PE of 35 !! what is so expensive of buying oilcorp @ 1.31 with PE only stood around 12+- ? further more, its volume is there + it is one of d political link stock also.
D next one is waving her hand telling u " I am coming ..i am coming $$$$$" is KFIMA ^V^ look at its volume n support, is she not a political darling stock also ? check its PE n mother's balance sheet ( Debt free !!)
Come back to Ornasteel, though it is not a political link stock but it has a theme play ( steel theme ) look at kinsteel n Hiaptek ^V^ if u can catch ornasteel @ 1.30+-, let me calculate for u how cheap u r buying..
Assuming, d flying color earning source given is fate one, take its latest EPS of 6 cts , as u know we r facing shortage of steel supply in d market, for onasteel to sustain its EPS of 6 cts for every qtrs is definitely not a problem ! hence :-
NTA for Onastel = 1.75
EPS :- 6 x 4 Qtrs = 24cts
if u can catch Onasteel at 1.30
PE = 1.30/0.24 = 5.4 !!
If d given source turn out to be truth !!
EPS > 0.35 for year 07 is highly achievable , wow ha ha let calculate its PE again $$$$$$
1.30/ 0.35 = oh my god is near to 3 $$$$$$$
Kinstel PE is currently stood at 9+ with NTA fo 3.96
Hiaptek PE is around 7 + with NTA of 1.23
See germ ?
Masteel is another one as good as Onasteel, d only short fall of masteel was " Quek family is selling in bulk n someone is playing behind this counter "
aiyahhhh, seems like i am so hard sell on Onasteel..ha ha may be someone pay me to trap u ppl for buying onastel at current price so that they can throw to u...ha ha, nothing is impossible ^V^
Use yr own judgement n decide yrself ^V^
Friday, August 10, 2007
^V^ Q n A ^V^
^V^
Someone asked me why i disposed off my EKson n Bkoon for swap to Onastel ?
Answers :-
1) Onastel's earning result will be out by this month n i am damn sure its coming QE a flying one $$$$$$
2) Ekson, metro kajang n Bkoon is definitely a undervalue stock, based on its movement n volume traded, u can see their boss r controlling from behind, such a laggard stock is meant for long term hold n is not suitable for volatile mkt like now !
3) D sub prime crisis is still uncertain n Dow plunged so much making me no choice but to sell off laggard stocks like d above in order to protect my profit n also investment risk .
4) Chinese saying "留得青山在,那怕无柴烧" which means :- If u still surviving n loaded with plenty of bullets, mkt is always there "
5)Flexibility, Beside FA theories, in practical, one needs to be more flexible in order for him to make $$$$$ in stock mkt which full of uncertainties n changes ^V^
I know a lot of u ppl wanna to catch d bottom of this correction, trust me, no one can do that ! if u think it is low enough, it could be even lower esp in bearish mkt, just like in bull mkt, u think it is over value n is time to sell it off, it may climb even higher after yr disposal . hence, don't dream of buying at lowest n selling at highest, it is impossible ^V^
My mom is a female telling :- Sailing with wind behind u is much much easier than sailing with wind against u , everybody know it but how many of u really practicing it ?
It is not a shame to tell ppl yr unrealised profit or shares in hand had depreciated painfully after recent tsunami,old saying :-when rain comes everybody get wet, when bear come, Good FA stocks also plunged.
Frankly speaking, i think KLSE doing quite well in this crisis as compared to other regional mkt (compared their fall in percentage ), thus i believe KLSE @ 1,400 by this year end or latest next cny is still intact.
Lastly, my big elephant gun from my cash in hand fund already loaded with plenty of bullets eyeing on Onastel @ anything below 1.30 ! I will allocate 100K for this stock alone started from price of :-
1.40+- buy 20%
<1.35 buy 20%
<1.30 buy 30%
<1.25 buy 30%
This is another IJMWB @ 0.38 in making if u can catch d above price stated as above , if u think i am catching a falling knife by buying onastel !?? perhaps, u should take a look at Tongher n Opus after their recent Q E ^V^
^V^I hv sailed with d south wind, short sell gain n realised profit ^V^
^V^
Short sell 21.2 lots of crestblrwa @0.555 n bought back at 0.515+ with profit of RM750+ ^V^
Since i couldn't buy back d remaining 27.8 lots of crestbldrwa which i sold at 0.555+ this morning, i will take it as realised profit of RM 2,220+.
Despite d 25 points plunge of KLSE , most of my holding hold firmly esp DPS ^V^
DPS Flat @ 0.535
Masteel - 2 cts
SKpres - 1 cts
Muind - 1 cts
Dxn - 0.05cts
Kfima - 3cts
Oilcorp - 8cts
Glomac - 8 cts
Onastel - 4cts
To Mr Ben, regarding d Dow future ^V^
Guys, u can see there is a bloomberg web at my link site below d Dubai picture, click on it , go for future n u will see all d regional mkt futures there, i don't normally use it as guide except bearish mkt ^V^
It will help us on how we allocate our fund n investment risk as well.
If u see Dow tumble in future mkt towards d end, u should hold on to yr buy order or sell some if yr shares exposure is too huge ^V^
Thursday, August 9, 2007
^V^Use yr intelligent n sail with it ^V^
Dow tumbled 283 points this morning, what to do now ?I hv showed u once in my previous posting, use yr intelligent n deal with it ^V^
Yes, i was too eager to go in onastel , but I managed to take some profit on masteel n also swap from my other stocks after seeing DOW future down 60 over points in late afternoon , this is d way i protect my profit ^V^ (See d attachment).
If d wind blowing south, sail with it ^V^ u ppl should know what i mean ^V^ if d gap is too far n u cant sail with it, leave it as it be ^V^
Good luck dudes ^V^
Wednesday, August 8, 2007
^V^Onastel ! Confirmed info by insider ^V^
^V^
I just got d latest confirmation from insider regarding onastel 's earning which suppose to be announced by this month end, trust me, u will definitely see a flying results in its coming Q E ^V^
EPS 6cts for qtr 1, without d flying QE , for her to sustain around 6 cts per qtr is definitely not a problem, thus, 6 x 4qtrs = 24cts which translate into PE of 6.5+- at current price of 1.56 ^V^ NTA 1.75 + good dividend paid ( 10cts for past 2 years ). Imagine if d given source telling d truth, u will see its full year EPS > 0.30 which giving u PE < 5$$$$$$$$ , As good as Masteel !!!
Since DOW able to stabilise > 13,000, i decided to use my cash in hand fund for purchase of Onastel @ 1.56+, bought 32 lots @ 1.565 n lefting 3 lots in queue ^V^
Will buy in more below 1.50 ^V^
Good luck ^V^
^V^ My shares report card as at 8/8/07 after recent tsunami ^V^
^V^
I didnt buy n dispose any of my shares during recent tsunami except my short sell gain of RM800+ ^V^
My unrealised profit depreciated > 50% after d tsunami, mkt rebounded 17 points today, is now d time to go in ? for me , I prefer to hold on to my existing shares n stay aside for little while.
Watch out d coming qtr earning for stocks as below :
Ornasteel by end of August ( Should be flying color )
Masteel by end of August ( Same as Ornasteel )
Kfima by end of August ( Dare not to say flying but should be better than previous one )
DPS by end of the month ( Should be a good one )
Oilcorp by end of August( Should be a good one )
Metro kajang by end of August ( definitely a flying one ) .]
To Mr Ben on yr question of which stock I am eyeing on, ha ha plenty of them , i found a few good solid stock that worth for buying ( Take note : I still prefer to stay aside, though they r pretty attractive at current level, i will buy it if i managed to swap from others)
Stocks in my radar :
MFCB (FA) 1.50+-
Ornasteel (FA) 1.50+-
Plenitude (FA) 3.10+-
Metro Kajang (FA) 1.70+-
ECM Libra< 0.98 ( Election theme n trading play )
Emetal 1.00+- ( FA )
BJtoto @4.82+ (FA)
Tuesday, August 7, 2007
^V^ This is a cruel world ! Mr Imposter, touch yr heart n ask yrself ^V^
^V^
Sad to know one FA blogger kena blamed by his fans at investsmart forum because of calling people buy on dip last week ^V^
Frankly speaking , I feel really bad for him n I dont think he owes anybody's responsibility for his picks n comments ! first of all , he didnt ask u guys to buy , is only an advice n d final decision is still on u ! u hold noone to blame but yrself, u must do yr homework b4 u jump into it ! furthermore, dont forget :- we r in bearish mkt, all stocks will tumble including good FA stocks (mine also) , hence, why blame people for something beyond their control ?
R u a man ? Mr Imposter ? dont u feel shame by blaming him for something which is out of his control esp those who made gain from his previous pick !??? touch yr heart n ask yrself, how could u do this to someone whose had guided u b4 !?
I am pretty sure, all d above will happen to me one day if stock that recommended by me gone holland ! hence, from now onwards, i wont be asking u guys what to buy, what i will do is :- i will post up my sales n purchases note up here, n u make yr own decision whether follow or not ?
Though we have some different views on certain stock, but both of us r using FA method , I have full confidence on FA investors whose r adopting FA method, if u r holding good FA stocks ( most of his picks r quite funadametal also )hence, dont worry, u will be rewarded in mid term, latest by next coming CNY ^V^
Monday, August 6, 2007
^V^ Dont blame Her ^V^
^V^
Seems like KLSE is retreating from d day high to only 9 points gain at half day closing, dont blame her, as i said, there r huge contra transactions due today, n more will be coming 2molo ^V^
Stay aside n wait for clearer picture ^V^
Warren buffet said :- when there is nothing to do, do nothing ^V^
Uncle sam said :- when there is nothing to post, post nothing ha ha ^V^
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