Monday, April 21, 2008

^V^Mr Cold eyes n uncle sam , different generation but same method of shares investment ^V^





I hv rec'd a mystery gift from my fan last week, an investment book written by Mr Cold Eyes, I found that I am actually adopting d same investment method as Mr cold eyes did, he said, he will not buy in any stock with PE > 20 ^V^ see ? he mentioned d overall fair value or PE is around 14.75 which is similar to my fair value @ PE 15 ! He did mentioned about buying stocks with PE < 10, if their earning growth r in positive zone, making $$$$ is only matter of time ^V^ read d above attachment n compare it with what i hv written as below :-

October 07

^V^
PE = Share price/ EPS

From year 1990 to 2000 , avg FD rate was around 8 %

From Year 2001 to 2007 , avg FD rate is around 6 %


Hello bro benjamin, i know u r loaded lah. those ppl placed their FD more than 1 mil will enjoy special rate like our bro benjamin..ha ha


take d average , i will say is around 6.5% ^V^ agreed guys ?

hence : - PE 15 is as same as 6.6% FD rate, how i got that ?

simple :- 1/15 x100% = 6.6%

if PE @ 20 means 1/20 x 100% = 5%

If PE @ 25 means 1/25 x 100% = 4%

If PE @ 30 means 1/30 x 100% = 3.3%

If u invested one dollar in stock x, n this stock x giving u EPS of 10cts ( 1/0.10 = PE 10 ), this means it needs 10 years for u to gain back yr capital of one dollar ^V^

In short PE 10 means u need 10 years to recover yr capital

PE 20 means u need 20 years to recover yr capital

Now calculate yrself, if stock x traded at PE 3 , answer me, what is d FD rate for PE 3 ? n u need how many years to recover yr capital ?

If u can answer that.. this show u r HALF understand d magic key of PE !

answer that ^V^

Posted by Samgoss at 3:44 PM 7 comments

***

Monday, October 8, 2007
^V^ PE (4) How to fish ? n a girl with gun (right method) able to hunt tiger easier than a man using pillow (wrong method) to hunt ^V^


^V^

I am not saying stock with PE < 10 will definitely profit u ! but !!! at least u know what u r buying n u wont over pay for what u bought ^V^

No matter how, u still hv to take some risk even stocks that u bought r all below PE 10, everybody know how to buy LOW PE stock, but not everyone able to catch low PE stock with sustainable future earning ( here i am talking about sustainability of its future earning, of course if her earning jumped above yr forecast is even better ). D key success here is "Future earning "

Example

Stock X

Share price = 1.50

EPS for 2 qtrs = 15.64

Let presume that stock X managed to maintain such a good earning for d coming 2 qtrs , hence, 15.64cts x 2 = 31.28 cts for year 08 ^V^

If my forecasting turn to be good, 31.28 cts will translate its PE to 4.7 (21% return per year)with current price of 1.50, let assume d PE for its industry stood at 13+-, its fair value should be 13 x 31.28 = RM 4 + ! even PE 10 will still give u fair value of 3.10+ ^V^

D above r with d assumption that its future earning rose in line with u hv forecasted ^V^

What happen IF >>>>

What happen if d coming 2 qtrs turn to be an lousy one, presuming she running at huge loss with negative EPS of 30cts !??

let calculate again..

first 2qtrs EPS = 31.28, d other 2 qtrs giving u -0.30cts

D whole year EPS is now 31.28 - 0.30 = 1.28cts

yr PE is now 1.50/ 1.28 x 100 = 117 !!!

what is PE 117 stand for ?

PE 117 stand for 0.85 % return per year or u needs 117 years to recover what u hv invested ! (why buying such stock that giving u return of 0.8% if u can enjoy FD rate of 6.6 % with zero risk !??)


See ? future earning will determine d movement of yr share price ^V^

That's d reason y I will not buy in any penny stock with PE > 15 n blue chip @ PE>20 !

How to minimise yr risk from wrong picking ?

2 ways :-

1)Track earning records

Its 3 to 5 years track earning records : check d earning track records for stock like PBB, YTL , BAT , Maxis, IOI.... NO losses at all for past 10 years !!
That's y i always ask u ppl to follow those with track proven results blogger ..ha ha

2)What is on going now n years to come

example : We know 9mp is hot going n it will on going for another 2 to 3 years time, Mega projects need steel (http://www.theedgedaily.com/cms/content.jsp?id=com.tms.cms.article.Article_6f4bdce6-cb73c03a-6798eb00-5043bd24 ) , cement, timber n ..... from here I know n confident that d coming 2 qtrs earning for masteel n onastel r definitely sustainable ^V^ hence, their coming earning will definitely in line with what i hv forecasted .


Guys, no easy n fast money from KLSE, we need to use brain n also d right method (FA) in order to acheive financial freedom from stock mkt. If Metastock really work as it is, why there r still ppl losing money after using it ? they may say bcos u r slow n dont know how to interprate it ! Excuse me ! this is IT world, they can do d programming in such a way when d software detected a buy signal, alert u n u jump in ,same goes to sell^V^ dont tell me they cant do such a simple programming !! d only reason why they dare not to do that is bcos they r lack of confidence or may be they need something to cover their ass.

What is d point if u born as a genius but adopted a wrong method ? a girl with gun (right method) can hunt tiger easier than a man using pillow (wrong method) to hunt ^V^ Think it over esp those who using TA method, am I not correct ?

Posted by Samgoss at 6:34 PM 10 comments

Monday, April 7, 2008

Plushilu has a new temporal shop!

Hola chicos y chicas, aunque pocos lo crean tenemos un local en el centro de Madrid. El local es temporal y estara abierto al publico hasta el 10 de mayo, donde hay ropa de diferentes marcas, lavandera, hoet:, gemma degara y Carocora y accesorios de Plushilu y Jdön. La direccion es:Calle barco 8de lunes a sabadosde 12 a 15 y de 17 a 21 hrs.Los esperamos!

Plushilu has a new temporal shop!

Hola chicos y chicas, aunque pocos lo crean tenemos un local en el centro de Madrid. El local es temporal y estara abierto al publico hasta el 10 de mayo, donde hay ropa de diferentes marcas, lavandera, hoet:, gemma degara y Carocora y accesorios de Plushilu y Jdön. La direccion es:Calle barco 8de lunes a sabadosde 12 a 15 y de 17 a 21 hrs.Los esperamos!

Thursday, April 3, 2008

^V^ 299%returns in 26 months is no big deal ? >then what about >1500% returns in 16 years ? no big deal also !? ^V^






[youtube.com/watch?v=ybzLkCq9jYE&feature=related]
^V^

2 sour kid Mr Price chart ,

Sour kid said in his email:- making 3 digits return in percentage 4 past 2 years is no big deal , d question is :- what is yr annual return in percentage for next 20 years !? totally agreed on that !

Well, d 299% returns in my portfolio for past 26 months is no big deal at all ! yes no big deal at all , d bigger deal was :- know how much is my initial capital when i started to invest in KLSE way back 1992 ?

30K ! (those who with me in osk forum since 2000 should know it well, still remember our ytlwb @ 0.45, resorts @ 4.80 (b4 split), Liondiv @ 1.01 n YTL @3.50 in year 2001 ? all proven as per attachement , i didnt put it in my latest portfolio is bcos all d trades transacted in year 2001 to 2003 b4 blogging )

If I add them up with my latest 299% return , conservatively , i will say it should cross > 700% easily ! all these excluded gains that i made from UEM @ 0.70 , PBB @ 1.60 n YTL @ 1.20 in year 1998 ! > 1500% easily ^V^

I hv lost count on my profit from share mkt due to assets purchases n biz investment. hence .. u r right , made 3 digits gain in percentage is no big deal at all ! if u can achieve >1500% in 16 years like d stupid fundamentalist did , then only u r qualified to "shout n shoot ppl " in yr forum !

am i not correct mr sour ?

Thanks Mr price chart 4 giving me an excuse to show my proven records again..eommm... without yr useless TA, I will never know how great my FA is ^V^

Jgn marah yah ?

I will show u how i made another 200% in 3 years time , stay tune ok ?

2 Mr Tanhin from http://tanhin.blogspot.com,include u in my mailing list ? dont lah be so humble, i hv visited yr blog b4, to be frank..not bad, at least much better than those who called ppl to buy call warrants with all afterhand calls !

BTW< >

Bro, TL, still remember our Liondiv @1.01 in year 2003 ?

From: Samltt88
To: samgang@smartgroups.com
Sent: Friday, July 02, 2004 3:48 PM
Subject: [samgang] ^V^ The said stock is "LIONDIV @ 1.01+- , sapu as many as u can ^V^

^V^

I feel very sorry for those loyal non osk samgang members who keep asking me what is the said stock ? ok , the said stock is LIONDIV @1.01+-, sapu as many as u can $$$$$, read the below N dont
forget to buy in 2 stages

wrote: ^V^
Don't post it in both samgang web N osk forum b4 our collection completed, I will release it on 1/7/04 @ 2.45pm for those non osk members .

U guys take the move first, my avg buying cost 1.01 for 43 lots, if not bcos of the FOC meeting holding me, I would have sapu at least 100 lots , therefore, to be safe, collect half n save the other half for dip.

May god bless u ^V^

-- samltt@streamyx.com wrote:
> ^V^
>
> Now u see, u guys r my no 1 buddies who always stand
> beside me whether it is sunny day or thunder night ^V^
> I really can't stand the $$$$$$ of the below stock
> after seeing the market gone up bit by bit everyday,
> thus I decided to buy in some this morning , My avg cost for liondiv is around 1.01, I will definately go in again < 1.00 after the FOC meeting. Y now ?
> cos Liondiv is for mid n long term play , No big
> different whether 1.00 or 0.80 if u r
> damn sure it will go > 2.00 in future. my advice to
> u, buy half & save the other half
> for dip ^V^
>
> Mr Tinglek,we have never come so close to agreed on
> ONE SAME stock (LIONDIV) right ? besides all the
> goodies mentioned by Tinglek, I would like to stress
> 3 $$$$ here , Liondiv is assets play (NTA 1.92) &
> earning play (PE10+-) besides the explosive earning
> contributed by china market, the completed highway
> will definately boots its sales of liondiv
> in sg long, thus esmt EPS for the coming year should
> be around 0.15 at least , if liondiv sell another
> 50% of its stake in China brewer co , another 40Cts
> capital repayment expected as what they hv done couple
> months ago.
>
> The short fall of Liondiv
>
> 1) the Sars factor mentioned by Tinglek
>
> 2) The internal loan granting like what Bjtoto did
> to bjgroup ^V^
>
> The possibility of the above is quite unlikely (
> calculated risk )
>
> therefore @ 1.00+- for Liondiv is absolutely
> GOLDMINE $$$$$$
>
> As i said, u guys r my best buddies, I trust
> u ppl wont leak it out esp in samgang web to prevent
> TA fans n ssho88 from knowing it ^V^ as for others,
> I will disclose to them later, most likely on 1/7/04.
>
> Let sink n fly together ^V^
>
> ^V^
>
> Sense ppl viewed the same ^V^ bro Tinglek ^V^ Lion
> Div the jewel in deep ocean ^V^accumulated some
> last Friday @ 1.00+-, I really cant stand & wait for
> the FOC meeting ,thus ,I bought in some & will definately
> buy more on dip again.
>
>
>
> Take care
>
> SaMLTT88
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Chee TY
> Date: Tuesday, June 22, 2004 7:20 pm
> Subject: Fw: Uncle Sam latest move
>
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: Chee TY
> > To: limtt@streamyx.com
> > Sent: Monday, June 21, 2004 3:37 PM
> > Subject: Fw: Uncle Sam latest move
> >

> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: Teck Hock Chua
> > To: Mei Keang Yong ; ylseah ; yihjyh ; Yek Fu Wong
> ; Ying Fui Tsen
> > ; Manfred Tong ; David Rohan Thanapalan ; Sam
> Seong Thai ; Teik
> > Kiang Teoh ; Boon Tong Teo ; Michael Tee ; Fatt
> Seng Tay ; Tan,
> > Wooi Teong ; Kong Yu Tan ; Chio Hwi Siah ; Alvan
> Leong Yew Siah ;
> > Yeow Thong Seah ; Koon Khim Saw ; Vun That Ngui ;
> Kenzo Zui Lim Ng
> > ; Kean Hong Ng ; June Ng ; Teck Keong Low ;
> How-Ming Low ; Yoong
> > Hing Lim ; Terry Kee Khim Lim ; Sow Fong Lim ;
> Fong Lim ; Yau Tai
> > Lee ; Yau Loon Lee ; Tee Wee Lee ; Seng Yeow Lee ;
> Bryan Yong Yee
> > Ku ; Chun Chong Koay ; james_goh ; Kian Yean Ho ;
> James Goh ;
> > Adelin Khong Li Gan ; Nicheal Voon Tet Foo ; Keng
> Soon Ee ; Chris
> > Chu ; Kim Choy Chong ; Pak Moi Chin ; Futt Kien
> Chin ; Teng Yoon
> > Chee ; Chee Woei Cheah ; Kai Loy Chan ; Huan Chion
> Bong ; Seok
> > Kheng Aui ; Wai Hoong Au Yong ; Darren Au Yeong ;
> BC ANG ; Ah Gim
> > Ang ; ((( URE - AG )))
> > Sent: Monday, June 21, 2004 3:27 PM
> > Subject: Uncle Sam latest move
> >
> >
> > Dear all,
> >
> > Late Friday last week, uncle Sam has cleared most
> of his KIMBLE
> > (1.30+) and KEN (1.05+) and collected some PPB
> earlier. He is
> > also looking to accumulate more on > YTL-WB and LIONDIV.
> >
> > Rdgs,
> > Chua
> >
>