Monday, August 25, 2008

^V^ What did Warren Buffet commented about China !? ^V^






巴菲特巨款投资中国公司遭拒 看懂经济难奈政策2008年08月25日 09:05华商网【大 中 小】 【打印】5亿美元投中国公司遭拒

巴菲特不知美国经济何时向好

丛玫

在浓烈的北京奥运氛围中,“股神”沃伦·巴菲特22日在接受美国CNBC电视台采访时,再三谈到对中国行情的看好。

巴菲特透露,不久前他曾报价5亿美元想购买一只中国股票,但是遭到拒绝。

巴菲特没有透露这只股票的名称和行业,但肯定地说,“这是一笔非常棒的交易,在环境适合的时候,你会看到我们在那里大规模投资。”

他特别提到因为目前中国的外资政策限制,还不能在中国内地随意购买股票。此前,巴菲特也是5亿美元入股中石油,获利35亿美元后,潇洒抽身。

这次采访是CNBC的“SQUAWK BOX”栏目8月22日在伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway)的总部所在地奥马哈进行的,采访持续了3个小时。

不担心中国前景

谈到在中国的投资前景,巴菲特提到,他的Iscar大连公司开业差不多一年了,工程进展迅速。“但我更喜欢购买证券,及购买我喜欢的公司,两件事情我都可能做。如果我们在未来几年在那里无所作为,我会很惊讶。”巴菲特说。

2007年,巴菲特带领他所投资的以色列切割刀具公司Iscar在大连投资了2785万美元,用以开设大连公司,目标是成为亚洲最大的宇航及汽车工业专用刀具生产基地。

很多经济学家担心,中国随着全球经济增长减慢,发展速度也会放缓。但巴菲特丝毫没有这样的担忧,认为中国的经济会发展得不错。

巴菲特认为未来10年、20年内,中国和印度将在现在的基础上取得长足的发展。“所以,我真的不是非常担心它们未来的发展是否将会遇到突然的干扰或其他,我也无法预测。如果我能预测,我仍然希望能以适当的价格,在适当的时候收购一些好的企业。”

“谁知道中国经济是否会过热、通胀严重或其他什么问题?”巴菲特强调他不担心不重要和不可知的事情。中国和美国一样,未来半年或一年发生什么真的并不重要,关键是未来10年会发生什么。

“我们要让事情变好,而事实是,中国会做得更好。因为他们起步较低,但是在过去的20年学到了大量的商业智慧,以及如何释放人的潜能。后面这一点美国较早前就学会了,但中国正在非常非常快速地掌握。”他说。

奥运期间,他并没有来到中国,而是守在电视机前,听别人解说赛况。谈到奥运,巴菲特说:“在奥运会之前我就相信中国,而且他们也的确呈现了一场精彩绝伦的奥运盛会。他们有一群非常非常聪明的人,他们十分认真地要办一届精彩盛会,他们必将完成任务。”

记者问他,既然如此看好中国的情景,是否也在考虑现阶段有必要尝试学习普通话了。巴菲特幽默地说:“不,不,我甚至不会去尝试吃中国菜。如果我不能在中国找到个麦当劳解决问题,我就很麻烦了。”


^V^

It is sad to say some bananas started to acknowledge their identity after d endorsement by d westerner like Warren Buffet ^V^ As TL said, we are chinese , we are Malaysia Chinese , Yes ! 100% agreed ! I feel proud of being Chinese got nothing to do with politic , d chinese here is " 龍的傳人 " , whether u r Malaysia chinese, India chinese, Africa chinese , US chinese , Europe chinese or even mainland chinese, all r classified as " 龍的傳人" !

Dont wait until mat salleh tell u that they r learning mandarin n chinese culture then only u start to follow ^V^

Warren Buffet said "他们有一群非常非常聪明的人", i would like to add something here , they r not only 非常聪明but very hard working too ! these make them what they r today n more to come in future ^V^

Saturday, August 16, 2008

^V^ Bolt teasing them like a clown, 9.69 sec (World Record) ^V^







^V^

He was slowing down at last 5 m , he could have run faster than 9.65 sec ! bravo Bolt, u r d king of 100 M !

To danny, masteel ? when to go in again ? well... in fact there r lots of water liu liu stocks out there 4 collection BUTTTTT.. still not d time to go in yet, what u need to do now is monitor d CI, if CI keeps sliding down to 1,000, all stocks will follow thru, hence..d main concern now is how low KLCI can reach ? 1,000 or 950 ?

Bottom fishing based on KLCI ^V^

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

New! Plushilu´s Monster Labor

Buenas nuevas!! hemos contactado con un cientifico de los estados unidos de nueva Africa y lo hemos contratado para haer experimentos en nuestros laboratorios. De esta idea ha surgido Plushilu´s Monster Labor, donde daremos libertad absoluta al Herr Doktor Pablo ientile para crear todos los mounstros que quiera y le sea posible relaizar. Para ver los resultados visita su diario personal donde

New! Plushilu´s Monster Labor

Buenas nuevas!! hemos contactado con un cientifico de los estados unidos de nueva Africa y lo hemos contratado para haer experimentos en nuestros laboratorios. De esta idea ha surgido Plushilu´s Monster Labor, donde daremos libertad absoluta al Herr Doktor Pablo ientile para crear todos los mounstros que quiera y le sea posible relaizar. Para ver los resultados visita su diario personal donde

Friday, August 8, 2008

^V^ Bravo ! Beijing Olympics Opening Ceremony! 整个世界的确都被这开幕式给震撼!^V^














^V^

Bravo ! Spectacular Beijing Olympics opening ceremony ! 整个世界的确都被这开幕式给震撼到了!


张艺谋的开幕式刚一开始,一下子就把老外的眼睛给看傻了。就感觉那些西方老记们的手下的键盘,一个劲地往外蹦着单词,什么“恢弘”,“壮观”,“大气”等,几乎全是最棒的形容词。老外的眼球看来这下子,可被张艺谋给赚个够。而当开幕式刚刚结束,西方各大电视媒体,也都基本上以上述那几个形容词为主要用语,进行近乎节日气氛般的报道。

^V^

Yes Philip ! excellent performance esp d drums count down , giant foot prints approaching brid nest stadium n d formation of chinese characters !

D little girl in red is so pretty n adorable ^V^

I am very impressed with d way Li Ning lights d cauldron of Beijing Olympic Games ! excellent ! so creative !

Fireworks show..well ..not bad though is not up to my expectation ( ha ha I sound like an expert liaoooo )

4 me, I think d chinese opera performance is abit below expectaion !

2 det , one sam one gang ? ha ha..dont make me shame lah... i am only a small fly .. u must be kidding liaoooo

2 Lum, proud to be chinese ? absolutely yes ! told u guys oledi... during Han n Tang dynasty, 2/3 of d world GDP was contributed by China, even d mighty US cant even get close to it !

7 wonders of d world, 2 contributed by Chinese ^V^

What ever d west can do, d east ( esp china man ) can do also !

Though we r still lacking behind as compared to western countries , but with d hardwork n intelligence of d chinese , catching up or even overtake d west is only a matter of time.

2 those Bananas who look down to their culture , remember this >>

Western moon is NOT d brightest !

Bravo! ONE WORLD ONE DREAM ^V^

奥运会开幕式结束之后,总导演张艺谋对各大亮点进行了一一解密:


击缶倒计时

在形式和内容上比较有创意的东西,是我比较满意的。我觉得我们表演总的品质感觉很现代,很时尚,至少你在中国历次的晚会上没有看到过,一种现代感,即便我们表现的是古老的传统,古老的历史。

我觉得我们打击乐的倒计时很独特,因为我们看了所有冬运会、夏运会的倒计时,时间很短,基本上都是采用播放短片,像广告一样,再配合焰火。我们也想采用,但希望创新,我们将击缶的表演往前移。把它装上光的东西,表演三分钟倒计时,天外来光激活日晷,反射下来传递一种光阴的概念。


烟花脚印

在开幕式中,以焰火打出204个大脚印沿北京城中轴线一步步迈向“鸟巢”是最大的亮点。204个大脚印,象征着参加北京奥运会的204个国家和地区的运动员。

随着2007年7月份制作工作的展开,这个数字一减再减,并逐渐倾向于“29”这个数字。29个“焰火大脚印”象征着29届奥运会——现代奥林匹克盛会迈着巨人的“脚步”一步步来到北京,走进鸟巢,既在时间上延续了奥运会的历史,表达了中国人民对奥运会的百年期盼,又使得东方与西方,中国与世界通过29个脚印紧紧连接在一起.


画图纸张

演员画图的纸是航空材料,是两个材料中间要加一些材料的,这个纸因为原来的体积比较大,所以后来减小了。纸只有两张,一张是训练的,训练了大概一个多月,永远都是它,30号、4号、5号的包括带观众彩排都是那个旧纸,这个新纸都舍不得用,因为一画就擦不掉了。


活字印刷术

在开幕式演出“文字”一章中,表现活字印刷术的字模神奇地变换着图案的情景令人过目难忘。897块字模由897个演员操控,他们要将字模道具无数次升降以组合成不同的图案,字模的道具也令编导和制作团队的成员伤透了脑筋。在设计图案变换时,编导们发现,无论呈现一朵云彩,还是一只飞鸟都无法实现,因为字模都是方形的,无法组合成一个线条柔和的图案。


奥运会主题歌

决定她唱主题歌差不多也就是最近20多天的决定,20多天以前还不是。因为这个主题歌叫《我和你》,我们就希望站在这个漂亮的地球上面是一个中国人和一个外国人,一男、一女,中国歌手我们确定了刘欢之后就需要一个女歌手,尤其是我们的音乐总监陈其钢认为她很适合。她在中国也开过演唱会,中国观众很熟悉她。更重要的是她的歌声、她的形象都符合这次主题歌的要求。我们也迅速得到来她的反馈。

她第一时间反馈,而且马上扔下所有的工作立即来北京。我们告诉她你要上差不多8层楼高的装置,而且给她寄了照片,结果她来了之后,第二天、第三天就上去试,很投入、很努力,马上就开始唱这个歌,一切都做的很完美,所以也很感谢她参加了北京奥运会开幕式的主题歌演唱。


主火炬手选拔

首先他不是现役运动员,因为现役运动员要把主要的精力投入到奥运会比赛中,我们这个训练需要很长时间,而且需要付出体力,也许一不小心还会受点小伤,这样现役运动员放弃,那就要选刚刚退役的,还要考虑到退役前的效果,我们想最好的就是体操,因为需要有技能。体操、跳水、艺术体操、花样游泳等等都有可能,但是首选体操,因为技术比较好,另外个儿也不是很大,这样我们把我们的要求跟体育总局报告,还有一点是特别有名的奥运冠军。


凌空点火

空中旋转对李宁的负重克服力是很困难的,他始终说我的手坚持不了拿这么长时间的火炬,我们曾经想请假肢厂做一个假肢,后来说不行,最后我们实际上有一根威亚,协助他,这些都是观众看不见的,都是方方面面大家共同努力的。

Monday, August 4, 2008

^V^Former TA expert 's comment on Singh/ TA = Gambling ^V^



CPO Trader said...
From what Darlie Singh said:

"Well, if one is a trend following trader (trend following traders typically want a go signal from either trend following indicators such as MACD, Moving Averages, or a bullish looking chart pattern), then, Parkson does not fit the criteria. MACD is still moving downwards. EMAs across many durations are pointing downwards, even a downtrend is visible since the peak on 2 Jan 2008. So, trend-following traders would probably wait for the downtrend trend to reverse itself first, before thinking of jumping in. These include break-out traders as well."

As a former trend follower, I do not think Trend follower is so complicated. For me, to differentiate a trend follower with TA is to look at how complicated thier analysis could be. Here,"MACD is still moving downwards. EMAs across many durations are pointing downwards, even a downtrend is visible since the peak on 2 Jan 2008". This is definately not a good trend following. It is a TA nia!
Breakout traders? Ha. A breakout traders' system is even simple compares to trend following. (I am a breakout trader as I deal with all commodities rather than shares)For the past few years, I do not even need any of TA stuff. Even a simple metastock is no important at all. What I need is a price.

Then, on this point also....So, trend-following traders would probably wait for the downtrend trend to reverse itself first, before thinking of jumping in. These include break-out traders as well If you follow merely M.Covel's book and the theory of trend following, of course there is a chance you will wait for the trend! But, how do u know thw trend is correct? For those good traders I know (whether on commodities,forex, currency, etc), good trend follower are always in the market as they would not like to miss a huge trend.As for breakout traders, I lagi emphasis to stay always in the market.Why jump in jump out since you are adapting a trend following stuff? That was pure TA!

Nowadays, I am starting to realise why Unker Sam hate those TA fellow. I myself having the same feeling. Darlie is one person here. Those in www.bizfun.cc lagi funny. Claim to be expert and wanna take RM 7000 for his course to teach people TA! Look at his suspicious FKLI recommendation. some even said that CPO cannot play (in fact I think CPO topic dead off long time ago) Unker Sam, u really made the right choice for not joining them. if you joined them last time, I am a real culprit then. (for recommend you to them)

Lastly,sorry to leave so much of irrelevant stuff in your blog. Hope you do not mind.Anyway, can you show me the web address of this Darlie?I really keen to read on what he said. Thank you so much.
Keep up your good work. Cheers!



Unker Sam:
U can mail me at cpotrader@gmail.com. But, mail me abang darlie's web address, not his email address. I do not want to know him at all! lol!Just wanna see what he wrote so far!

Yes, I am a former TA. A real TA who knows almost everything (I am so ashamed that I know so much about TA). So, what is the reason I do not practice TA anymore? Since I mentioned I know almost everything about TA, let’s do it one by one from the basic. TA beginner normally start with trend line drawing and pattern recognition (flag lar, triangle lar, etc). As a TA learner getting smart with such a “SUBJECTIVE” stuff, they tend to become smart in drawing. At the end, because they are getting smart; each time they can draw different line or identify different pattern at different time zone. The best part is they can also 出猫. How they do it? Sometimes, they can adjust the line a bit the next day or so, just to show that their analysis still intact! I am a very stubborn person. If you tell me the line should be this way, I will not accept even a small alteration. At the end, how high is the winning possibility? I would say; the best is 50-50!

Ok, let’s move on with a higher TA skill. Let’s talk about indicators. (I don’t care what type of indicators it is – be it a trending, non-trending, whatever) If you check with any TA experts: which indicator is the best? Their answers most probably will be this: the best indicator is the one I am showing you right now – a chart which already happen and the said person found it hard just to show how good that indicator is. Please then randomly choose another chart and ask him to pick up the same value using the same ‘splendid’ indicator. Can he? To make this assumption simple, I think all traders know metastock; there is an option call ‘system tester’. So, the said option is to help traders find the best choice in selecting which TA tools to use. In another words, even the software itself do not know which system is the best. In fact, if you go and test one by one, you would be surprised that each different type of product (even between different shares) needs different tools in order to optimize it. Sometimes, the worst part is: you find zero system is suitable for trading purpose. So, how high again for such a higher skill tool? For me,still 50-50 nia! Correct me if I am wrong: I think unker Sam’s FA at least are quite firm. Not sometimes happen, then sometimes not happen. But, TA indicators really ‘keng’ one: sometimes appear and most of the time disappear.

So, a TA trader would argue this way: we can optimize with the combination of few tools. For example, one moving average is not enough. Then, add two. Still not enough? Add three lor! Still not enough? Add until you can see rainbow lor! (Guppy Multiple MA lar). My only question is: how high is the reliability? For me, the most is still 50% nia! So, why it is so great if the chances of winning still in 50%?

Ok, since everything is 50-50; there is still a chance that a trader would win in long run; that is, a trader must win huge and loss small. So, how to do it? TA guys will say: simple nia! Put some stop loss and let profit run! Ok, let’s talk about stop loss first. My question is damn simple, how to put your stop loss? A static 10%, 20% or using candlestick, Fibonacci, ect? At the end, the results might still be 50-50 as each method of stop loss will only guarantee you of one thing – it is either correct or wrong! So, what’s the difference? Ok, if the stop was correct on 50% of all trades, it will still be considered as good. What about this way, the stop trigger too early and at the end, you miss a big profit because you had been trigger out! Basically, stop loss supposed to act as an opposite tool against running with profit. But, sometimes it could turn out to be a good block for good profit running! Yes, you can reenter when you had been mistakenly force out. what if you miss also on the reenter? What is you reenter and then kena your stop again? In a consolidation market, there is a great chance that such a situation will happen umpteen times. Ok, ok….. you can use a tool like Wilder’s ADXR to test the volatility so that you won’t jump into consolidation? Heh….. take some investigation on why Wilder created the whole set of ADX, ADXR stuff? Do you think he wanna help us avoid consolidation?

Lastly, let’s touch about letting the profit run. That was very important for commodities trader like me. So, what TA guys said? They also let profit run. But, I am sure they will never let profit run like what unker Sam did with stocks. Unker Sam, sorry to said that (hope you don’t mind that I am comparing myself to sifu level like you), but I am also like u on my commodities trading. As long as my own rules intact, I see no reasons to run at all. Why jump in jump out when you are so confident? Guess what, I hold before an EURO positions for more than one and a half year! Ok, back to TA, why I said they would not hold like us? They can’t do so as their skill ask them not to do so mah. For example, they might use Fibonacci! You and I know that the most Fibonacci can go is until 423.6%! After that, the job consider done. So, those TA experts would jump out and wait for retracement to buy back. My question is: what if there is no retracement? What if the said trader missed out the retracement as they do not know the retracement rest at 61.8% 0r 50%? So, again; it is all about 50-50 myth!

Unker, my English is no good and my explanations also a bit blur sometimes. (Hope you understand) My intention of writing all these is to answer your question. So, you have the right to publish it or not as I worried my broken angmoh and poor explanation will create havoc in your blog. Lol!

In short, why trust a tool with 50-50 chances most of the time? What is the necessary to have stop loss when I think a trader should concern more on the capital allocation? For me, a stop loss is a real burden. As for profit taking, I never limit myself with the TA tools anymore as by doing that, I might end up running in out in out and my average profits (if profits) becomes average at the end. So, that sums up my experiences with TA! As for my breakout system, I apologized for not be able to reveal so much. Cheers!

***

CPO Trader said...
Unker:

this tai chek kong Seng is really tai chek kong plus 出猫王 . I leave a message on one of his article, namely 'Trading FKLI, CPO'. But, he doesn't dare to post it also even though it was a very polite message from me. My intention is simple. I found it misleading, so I thought wanna kepoh a bit. However, it looks like this tai chek kong is someone who is quite stubborn and not open-minded at all.

Anyway, human beings are funny sometimes. If wanna learn, go learn with those winners mah. why learn with someone who is half tanker? Funny, ha.......

Alex
Seng: Anyway, I think that's my last comment live on FCPO here ... It's now up to you to guess whether I have a position or don't have a position ... this is serious money at stake here ...

Guess what???? Have or no have only mah.....

31 Jul 08, 10:33
Seng: 3030 15 points. Easy money or is it???

Easy money? A game with margin which had been increased from rm8k to rm 11k only looking for 15 points? are you joking? In this bear run, good traders are easily holding more than 400 points of paper profits at the moment!No joke! That's the real value of high leveraging. 15 points? I showed you a better path: go play a mini contract of spot forex better! That also you must choose those without volatility. Otherwiese, it's a real waste!Put it this way,be practical on where to park your money and be practical on your return too. Do not look for a return which is so low and yet, the risk is so high. 50-50 again? no way, TA man!

31 Jul 08, 10:33
Seng: FCPO approaching 3030 ... I hope they haven't read this cbox ...

who's going to read your cbox? crocodile? croc wont have time for that lar... to trap small players from the cbox to earn what? 15 points?

I am not try to be harsh here. But, do not misleading people ler....

Unker: sorry again to add something.... feel free to delete it if you feel unnecesarry. cheers